Here's 2025 in geopolitics. In January, Trump withdrew the United States from the Paris Agreement and World Health Organization on Inauguration Day and began shuttering US aid. In May, India and Pakistan fought their most intense conflict in half a century with three days of drone strikes, projectile attacks, and downed fighter jets after extremists left 26 deceased near Pahalgam in Kashmir. In June, Israel launched Operation Rising Lion and the U.S. conducted Operation Midnight Hammer, destroyi
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Last week, I shared a chapter from my 2021 book Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order that details the classic signs to watch for as the world geopolitical order breaks down in a classic progression of events that I call the "Big Cycle." By knowing what this classic process looks like and then comparing it with what is happening, one can better understand what is happening and what might happen. The article was very popular, getting more than 75 million views, and a number of peop
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